Dawson Knox is no where near a tight end that you should trust in fantasy. The Steelers were tough on WRs last season, meaning you can sit Cole Beasley, Gabriel Davis and Emmanuel Sanders, especially while we figure out how the targets will be distributed. He is an obvious must start option as well. Stefon Diggs went off in that game, going for 10 catches, 130 yards and a TD on 13 targets. Still, Allen is a must start, even against the Steelers, who allowed the second-fewest fantasy PPG to QBs (14.17). He still went for 18 fantasy points, which is good, but not a normal Allen game. Josh Allen struggled in that matchup last season completing just 24 of 43 passes for 238 yards, two touchdowns, an interception and 28 rushing yards. Najee Harris will see enough volume to start weekly, but the Steelers' best bet in this game is to establish the run. The Bills allowed 97 rushing yards per game and 16 total touchdowns to running backs last year.
Eric Ebron is not a starting option, regardless of matchup. Smith-Schuster and Claypool are more in the WR3 range, with the likelihood that someone disappoints. Johnson was the top target in 2020 and projects to be again, so he should be started as a WR2. Still, this is one of the best trios in the league and the Bills won't be able to limit all three. The Bills allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy PPG (32.4) to wide receivers last year. Chase Claypool added three catches for 15 yards on six targets. That game last year was strange since it was the game Diontae Johnson was benched for drops, but he still finished with four catches for 40 yards on seven targets, while JuJu Smith-Schuster had six catches for 55 yards on seven targets. Roethlisberger should be benched in all one-QB formats.
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Not a great stat line, plus the Bills issued just 245 passing yards per game and 23 total passing touchdowns to QBs last year. In that game, Ben Roethlisberger threw for 187 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Russell Gage is a safe floor play in a favorable matchup, but the chances are you have a better option to start on your roster. He is not a must-start option, but he is a high-end QB2 in case your starter has a tough matchup or in two QB formats. The Eagles were middle of the pack against QBs last season, which is exactly where Matt Ryan is amongst QBs for Week 1. Matchups matter for the rest of the Falcons. But still, Davis is still an RB2 this week. The Eagles were stingy against RBs last year, giving up 87 rushing yards and 4.3 catches per game to backs. Mike Davis is not matchup proof, but given the workload he is projected for, you have to start him early on. It doesn't hurt that the Eagles issued 52 yards per game and nine total touchdowns to tight ends last year. If you have Kyle Pitts, you likely took him as a top-five tight end, meaning you are starting him in Week 1. Calvin Ridley is matchup proof, so it doesn't matter that the Eagles defense gave up the ninth-most fantasy PPG to WRs (39.51), you are starting him either way. Given the passing down concerns with Miles Sanders, he is purely a low-end RB2 in this matchup. The one position the Falcons were tough on last year was running back, as they limited the position to the seventh-fewest fantasy PPG (20.7) and the second-fewest rushing yards per game (70.6) to running backs.
Since they have two, both Dallas Goedert and Zach Ertz are on that TE 1/2 borderline. Last season, the Falcons gave up the fourth-most fantasy PPG (15.41) and touchdowns (10) to tight ends. Smith is the only WR in Philly to trust right now, but not the only pass catcher. As the top target in this offense, with a great matchup, he should come with a safe floor and a high ceiling. DeVonta Smith should be started in his NFL debut. Last season, they gave up 209 yards per game to the position. Last season, the Falcons allowed the most fantasy PPG to WRs (45.2) and have finished in the top five in two of the past three seasons. Atlanta is also a friendly matchup for the pass catchers in this game. They also gave up the second-most fantasy PPG to QBs in 2020 (23.32). That bodes well against the Falcons, who allowed the ninth-most rushing yards to QBs (344) and the fifth-most rushing touchdowns (six). It's a small sample size, but Hurts is one of the best pure running QBs in the NFL.
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Hurts averaged 23 fantasy points per game as a starter last season and rushed for over 60 yards in each of his three full starts. First, on the Eagles side of things, Jalen Hurts is a must start option in Week 1, unless you somehow have him paired with one of the elite options. This has the potential to be one of the most fantasy friendly games in the Week 1 slate.
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